Penn State
W-L: ( 6- 4) PR = 98.7925Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 H Colgate PATRIOT ( 4- 6, 92.6) 18-14 207 H Villanova BE ( 5- 5, 93.3) 13-14 214 A Princeton IVY ( 8- 2, 98.1) 13- 7 221 A Navy PATRIOT ( 7- 4, 94.1) 11-12 228 H Yale IVY ( 5- 4, 95.4) 17- 7 307 H Cornell IVY ( 6- 3, 97.8) 19- 7 314 N North Carolina ACC (10- 1, 99.4) 8-10 321 H Maryland B10 ( 5- 4, 96.7) 10- 6 328 A Ohio State B10 ( 8- 3, 95.8) 13- 6 404 A Johns Hopkins B10 ( 7- 3, 96.3) 10-11 411 H Michigan B10 ( 2- 7, 92.1) 417 A Rutgers B10 ( 8- 3, 93.9)
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 H Colgate 18-14 4 8 - -3.00
207 H Villanova 13-14 -1 7 --- -8.00
214 A Princeton 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 6.86
221 A Navy 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.14
228 H Yale 17- 7 10 5 + 2.03
307 H Cornell 19- 7 12 3 ++ 4.50
314 N North Carolina 8-10 -2 -1 -1.42
321 H Maryland 10- 6 4 4 0.36
328 A Ohio State 13- 6 7 1 ++ 5.58
404 A Johns Hopkins 10-11 -1 1 -1.99
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Villanova 13-14 -1 7 --- -8.00 221 A Navy 11-12 -1 3 -- -4.14 201 H Colgate 18-14 4 8 - -3.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 A Princeton 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 6.86 307 H Cornell 19- 7 12 3 ++ 4.50 328 A Ohio State 13- 6 7 1 ++ 5.58 228 H Yale 17- 7 10 5 + 2.03 |
Penn State Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Albany | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Army | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Bellarmine | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Binghamton | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Boston Univ | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Penn State | |
| Brown | Penn State | Penn State 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Bryant | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Bucknell | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Canisius | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Cleveland State | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Colgate | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Cornell | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Dartmouth | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Delaware | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Penn State | |
| Denver | Penn State | Penn State 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Detroit Mercy | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Drexel | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Duke | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Fairfield | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Georgetown | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Hampton | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Harvard | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| High Point | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Penn State | |
| Hobart | Penn State | Penn State 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Hofstra | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Holy Cross | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| Iona | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Penn State | |
| Jacksonville | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Penn State | |
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | ||
| Lafayette | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Penn State | |
| Le Moyne | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Lehigh | Penn State | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Penn State | |
| LIU | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Loyola | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Penn State | |
| Manhattan | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Marist | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Marquette | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Maryland | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Massachusetts | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| UMassLowell | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Mercer | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Mercyhurst | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Merrimack | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Michigan | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Penn State | |
| Monmouth | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Mt St Marys | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Navy | Navy | Navy | ||
| NJIT | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| North Carolina | North Carolina | North Carolina | ||
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Notre Dame | |
| Ohio State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Pennsylvania | Penn State | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Penn State | |
| Princeton | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Providence | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Queens | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Quinnipiac | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Richmond | Richmond | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Richmond | |
| Robert Morris | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Rutgers | Penn State | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Penn State | |
| Sacred Heart | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Siena | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| St Bonnies | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| St Johns | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| St Josephs | Penn State | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Penn State | |
| Stony Brook | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Syracuse | Penn State | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Penn State | |
| Towson | Towson | Towson 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| UMBC | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Utah | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Vermont | Penn State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Villanova | Villanova | Villanova | ||
| Virginia | Penn State | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Penn State | |
| VMI | Penn State | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Penn State | |
| Wagner | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Yale | Penn State | Penn State |
PowerWise = 69
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 10.36
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Colgate ( 4- 6, 92.6) 18-14 -7.28 14.02 -1.55 1.04 25.85
0 H Villanova ( 5- 5, 93.3) 13-14 -6.62 14.68 -1.55 1.04 -4.23
0 A Princeton ( 8- 2, 98.1) 13- 7 -1.80 19.50 1.55 1.04 43.62
0 A Navy ( 7- 4, 94.1) 11-12 -5.80 15.50 1.55 1.04 -2.20
0 H Yale ( 5- 4, 95.4) 17- 7 -4.53 16.76 -1.55 1.04 31.54
0 H Cornell ( 6- 3, 97.8) 19- 7 -2.06 19.24 -1.55 1.04 36.67
0 N North Carolina (10- 1, 99.4) 8-10 -0.53 20.77 -0.00 1.04 -0.28
0 H Maryland ( 5- 4, 96.7) 10- 6 -3.20 18.10 -1.55 1.04 34.31
0 A Ohio State ( 8- 3, 95.8) 13- 6 -4.07 17.22 1.55 1.04 38.91
0 A Johns Hopkins ( 7- 3, 96.3) 10-11 -3.65 17.65 1.55 1.04 -1.09
------
203.11
|
winning pts = 210.9019 losing points = -7.7956
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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